All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Meister Family Memorial Run |
Hamilton County |
Charger Classic |
Maconaquah Invitational |
Tipton Invitational |
New Haven Invitational |
Hoosier Conference |
Noblesville Sectional |
Noblesville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/18 |
8/28 |
9/6 |
9/8 |
9/15 |
9/22 |
9/29 |
10/6 |
10/13 |
10/20 |
10/27 |
| Team Rating |
654 |
566 |
671 |
614 |
709 |
726 |
714 |
675 |
620 |
743 |
|
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
566 |
671 |
614 |
709 |
726 |
714 |
675 |
620 |
743 |
|
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Meister Family Memorial Run |
Hamilton County |
Charger Classic |
Maconaquah Invitational |
Tipton Invitational |
New Haven Invitational |
Hoosier Conference |
Noblesville Sectional |
Noblesville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 40 |
Maria Mitchell |
10 |
19:02 |
18:56 |
18:55 |
19:24 |
19:28 |
19:50 |
19:20 |
18:55 |
19:04 |
19:03 |
18:48 |
19:30 |
| 292 |
Abby Roth |
12 |
20:43 |
21:07 |
21:17 |
20:47 |
20:58 |
20:49 |
21:17 |
21:21 |
20:15 |
21:28 |
|
|
| 632 |
Abby Christiansen |
12 |
21:46 |
21:27 |
22:01 |
21:32 |
21:27 |
21:54 |
21:53 |
21:23 |
21:48 |
22:09 |
|
|
| 849 |
Chloe Henderson |
11 |
22:16 |
21:45 |
22:01 |
21:51 |
23:00 |
22:04 |
22:02 |
22:25 |
22:43 |
22:20 |
|
|
| 908 |
Morgan Guthrie |
10 |
22:23 |
21:24 |
22:11 |
22:07 |
22:44 |
23:31 |
22:46 |
23:07 |
21:54 |
22:37 |
|
|
| 1,097 |
Victoria Lopez |
9 |
22:47 |
22:32 |
22:49 |
22:44 |
23:28 |
|
23:14 |
22:24 |
22:31 |
22:48 |
|
|
| 1,293 |
Alex Lopez |
12 |
23:12 |
23:22 |
|
23:08 |
23:11 |
23:06 |
23:22 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,304 |
Madison Doltich |
10 |
23:13 |
22:35 |
23:48 |
24:31 |
22:38 |
23:03 |
22:55 |
22:46 |
23:37 |
23:37 |
|
|
|
Molly Hilarides |
12 |
23:45 |
23:07 |
|
23:21 |
25:37 |
|
23:39 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jenna Tomaszewski |
12 |
24:38 |
24:29 |
|
23:56 |
24:56 |
|
24:57 |
|
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
9.3 |
235 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
8.2 |
54.9 |
36.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
5.0 |
133 |
|
|
|
1.2 |
98.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Maria Mitchell |
89.2% |
37.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
1.5 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
1.7 |
1.5 |
89.2% |
89.2% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Maria Mitchell |
100% |
13.8 |
|
0.1 |
0.5 |
2.2 |
3.5 |
4.2 |
5.9 |
5.3 |
4.9 |
5.3 |
4.8 |
5.3 |
4.2 |
5.1 |
5.9 |
4.9 |
4.0 |
4.3 |
4.0 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
2.4 |
1.7 |
2.3 |
2.0 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Abby Roth |
12.3% |
71.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12.3% |
12.3% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Maria Mitchell |
100% |
6.5 |
|
1.9 |
8.4 |
11.9 |
11.8 |
10.5 |
10.7 |
7.8 |
6.8 |
5.9 |
5.3 |
3.9 |
3.5 |
3.1 |
1.8 |
1.6 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Abby Roth |
100% |
43.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Abby Christiansen |
100% |
65.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Chloe Henderson |
100% |
75.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Morgan Guthrie |
100% |
77.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Victoria Lopez |
100% |
82.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.9% |
| Alex Lopez |
100% |
86.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
95.2% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Maria Mitchell |
2.7 |
0.2 |
29.6 |
28.2 |
14.2 |
9.4 |
5.6 |
4.8 |
2.7 |
1.8 |
1.6 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Abby Roth |
24.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
2.4 |
5.1 |
5.8 |
6.4 |
6.8 |
9.0 |
9.4 |
10.4 |
| Abby Christiansen |
31.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Chloe Henderson |
34.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Morgan Guthrie |
35.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Victoria Lopez |
38.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Alex Lopez |
41.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
